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• Bottom of the Barrel (Rate) But Effective - May 24, 2025
Jacob Wilson SS ATH Good for 157th place on the leaderboard: Barrel 2.9% in the 10th Percentile. 26.6% Hard hit in the 5th percentile and then yet-to-be substantiated Bat Speed in the 1st percentile at 63 MPH. He's hitting .342 with an OBP of .382, punctuated with 5 HR and 4 SBs, making him a useful SS in any format. Sure, the low power will likely cap HRs at 12-15 but with a batting average nort...2025
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• Will Ozzie Albies bounce back?

Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images Or is this a self-inflicted lost season? Say what you will about the Braves at this point — they’ve done well to get to where they are, but seem to be passively mediocre production-wise at this point — but Ozzie Albies doesn’t even meet that definition. His season is kind of a nightmare right now: a .290 xwOBA that he’s underhitting, below-average defe...2025
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• What’s Wrong with Dylan Crews’ Swing? Unpacking His Struggles in 2025

Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images Taking a deep look into Dylan Crews’ problems at the plate and what he can do to fix it On May 14th, Dylan Crews sworded through a high fastball, then was frozen on a back foot slider to end the game. Another strikeout. Another Nationals loss, this one 5-3 to the Braves. Meaning another round of online outcry, Echoing what many in the fanbase are feeling. Crew...2025
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• BCB After Dark: The Cubs are ‘monitoring’ Ryan McMahon

Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images The late-night/early-morning spot for Cubs fans asks about your interest in Rockies third baseman Ryan McMahon. It’s another week here at BCB After Dark: the grooviest gathering of night owls, early risers, new parents and Cubs fans abroad. Come on in and join us for a while. Your name is on the guest list. Let us know if we can do anything for you. Th...2025
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• Is Cam Smith Figuring Things Out? - May 20, 2025
Agustin Ramirez (C-MIA) went 1-4 with a solo blast as he batted 2nd against the Cubs on Monday. The 23 year-old has quickly established himself as a key piece of the Marlins lineup as he's hit .267 with 6 homers, 12 RB, and 11 RBI in 95 PA since getting the call to the majors. Ramirez has controlled the plate pretty well - especially for a rookie - with a 20% strikeout rate against a 9.5% walk rat...2025
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• Drake Baldwin Continues to Rake - May 19, 2025
Drake Baldwin (C-ATL) stayed hot as he went 2-5 with an RBI and run scored against the Red Sox on Sunday. The 24 year-old backstop drew his second straight start at the expense of Sean Murphy as he's now hitting .357 with 5 dingers, 15 RBI, and 10 runs scored across 90 PA on the year. Baldwin has made a lot of contact, with an 82.5% overall contact rate and an 88% in-zone rate while his Statcast p...2025
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• AL Week 8 Strategy-May 17, 2025
In The Field C Alejandro Kirk missed Tuesday's game after getting hit on the head with a backswing on Sunday, but he was in the rest of the week. OF Yordan Alvarez (hand) is still day-to-day with his hand injury. He was able to hit in the cage on Thursday but did not play against the Rangers. He was expected back this weekend but did not return on Saturday. His return is expected soon. OF Byron ...2025
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• Resurgent Torkelson and Mize Lead the Tigers - May 9, 2025
Spencer Torkelson (1B-DET) was productive in Thursday's doubleheader with the Rockies as he went 5-9 with 2 doubles, 2 runs scored, and 4 RBI on the day. The 25 year-old continues to be a fantasy contributor as he's now batting .254 with 10 dingers, 32 RBI, and 28 runs scored through 163 PA on the year. He's trimmed his strikeout rate to a more acceptable 24.5% while drawing walks at a career-high...2025
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• Juan Soto is Still Really, Really Good - May 8, 2025
Juan Soto, OF (NYM) Soto smacked a pair of home runs on Wednesday and also added a 110 mile-per-hour lineout to straightaway center. It's another example of Soto tearing the cover off the ball in his first year with the Mets, even if the surface stats don't support that. He is only hitting .261 with seven home runs, but Soto has an expected batting average over .300 along with the best contact rat...2025
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• The Return of Evan Carter - May 7, 2025
Evan Carter, OF, Texas Rangers Carter made his 2025 debut, going 2-5 with R and K. While your leaguemates might hop on him trying to catch some post-hype sleeper effect, I'm personally hesitant. Carter was striking out at 25.6% in AAA prior to his callup, and was only hitting 27.8% of balls hard. I appreciate his 50.9% flyball rate and 6 SB. The HR and SB should come, but there could be some serio...2025
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• A Lost Season for Casas, PCA Continues to Mash - May 3, 2025
Triston Casas (1B-BOS) will most likely miss the rest of the 2025 campaign after being diagnosed with a ruptured left patellar tendon. The injury brings a premature end to a disappointing season for the 25 year-old slugger, who finishes with a .182 average, 3 homers, 11 RBI, and 5 runs scored over 112 PA with a poor 59 wRC+. His strikeout rate wasn't bad at 24% and Casas had registered a 71% conta...2025
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• Has Dylan Ceased to be Worth it? - May 3, 2025
Dylan Cease SP SAN Never an easy watch, Cease was in Pittsburgh on Friday but as usual, it took 91 pitches for him to get through 4 innings. He walked in a run in the 4th inning on his 90th pitch. More and more takes from hitters means his walk rate has climbed to 9% and the Hard Hit Rate is 39%. Does he still have the wipeout stuff? The profile was tasty coming into 2025, striking out 224 in 190 ...2025
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• Comeback Arms Lead the Way - May 1, 2025
Tony Gonsolin, SP, Dodgers Tony Gonsolin looked impressive in his season debut, allowing three runs on six hits while striking out nine over six innings. He induced 17 whiffs in the night for a 40% whiff rate, with his slider being his most effective swing-and-miss pitch, with six whiffs on eleven swings. This was about as good of a start as you could ask for, considering Gonsolin hasn't pitched s...2025
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• The Steady Rise of Reese Olson - April 24, 2025
Reese Olson, SP (DET) Olson was absolutely dominant on Wednesday. The young right-hander threw 7.1 scoreless innings, allowing only two hits and one walk while striking out seven. Olson's slider/changeup were spectacular, generating 17 swinging strikes on those two pitches alone. He finished the game with a phenomenal 41% CSW rate. Through five starts Olson has been a completely different pitcher ...2025
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• Monday Rockpile: An early evaluation of Chase Dollander

Photo by Kyle Cooper/Colorado Rockies/Getty Images Colorado Rockies news and links for Monday, April 21st, 2025 Colorado Rockies top pitching prospect Chase Dollander (no. 1 PuRP) has now made his first three big league starts after getting called up in early April. There’s been a lot to like watching the budding star from Rocky Top, drafted ninth overall by the Rockies in the 2023 draft. ...2025
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• So, when are the Braves going to announce that the start of this season was an April Fool’s joke?

Photo by Casey Sykes/Getty Images Are we talking at some point today, or tomorrow? I think about the 2018 season a lot. I don’t know that anyone else does, it’s probably just me. With the horrible start the Braves have had, more than a few people have mentioned that the travails of the franchise in 2024, and to start this season, were maybe some kind of karmic recompense for the successful...2025
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• Analyzing Royals Fall League pitcher metrics

Photo by Zac BonDurant/MLB Photos via Getty Images A few Royals arms stood out. Welcome back reader. If you are reading this, you’ve probably already read the earlier entry breaking down Royals hitter performances in the Arizona Fall League. If you haven’t, go back and read it! We’re back today to do the same for pitchers. Five pitchers from the Royals organization took the field for the S...2024
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2025
"Hunter Renfroe is approaching the Dozier line"

2024
"A look at how Daniel Lynch could be successful this season"

2023
"Thursday Rockpile: Nothing about the 2023 Rockies is working"

2022
"The Dansby Swanson signing by the numbers"

2021
"Top 25 First Basemen Rest of Season – Looking Like A Fool"

2017
"Can the Brewers remain contenders in NL Central?"

• BCB After Dark: The Cubs are ‘monitoring’ Ryan McMahon
2025

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• Is Cam Smith Figuring Things Out? - May 20, 2025
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• Drake Baldwin Continues to Rake - May 19, 2025
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• Is Jackson Holliday Turning a Corner? - May 18, 2025
Jonathan Aranda (1B-TB) continued his productive start to the 2025 season as he went 2-4 with an RBI against the Marlins on Saturday afternoon. The 26 year-old is now batting .321 with 6 long balls, 21 RBI, and 19 runs scored through his first 155 PA of the campaign. Aranda has fanned at a 24.5% clip while walking at an 11% rate. His average seems most likely to dip going forward since a .407 BABI...2025
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• AL Week 8 Strategy-May 17, 2025
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• Weathers Shines In Strong Return - May 15, 2025
Ryan Weathers, SP, Marlins Ryan Weathers made his first start of the season after being activated off the injured list, allowing one run on two hits and one walk with five strikeouts over five innings. This was a great start in his first taste of action, considering he was a very popular breakout pick in draft season before suffering his forearm strain right before the season. He was dominating in...2025
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• Can't Stop Kerry Carpenter! - May 13, 2025
Kerry Carpenter, OF, Detroit Tigers Carpenter had a great day going 2-5 with 3 R, 1 BB on three hard hit balls. He's running a .434 xwOBACON, which is mainly driven by a 14.5 barrel rate and 21.7 LA. He's pulling balls in the air at an astounding 23.6%. This analysis is simple - Kerry hits the ball hard, hits it in the air, and can do both at the same time. He's playing nearly every day and has so...2025
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• Tarik Skubal Continues Dominance with 12 Strikeout Performance - May 10, 2025
Tarik Skubal (SP - Tigers) Skubal shut the Rangers down allowing 1 ER on 2 hits with 12 strikeouts over 7 innings. After a rocky start to the season where he surrendered 7 runs over his first two starts, Skubal has been dominant allowing 4 runs over his last 6 starts. He has a ridiculous 60 strikeouts against 5 walks in 2025 and lowered his ERA to 2.08 with Friday's outing. As was the case last y...2025
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• Resurgent Torkelson and Mize Lead the Tigers - May 9, 2025
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• The Return of Evan Carter - May 7, 2025
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• Will Ozzie Albies bounce back?
2025

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• What’s Wrong with Dylan Crews’ Swing? Unpacking His Struggles in 2025
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• Is Cam Smith Figuring Things Out? - May 20, 2025
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• Drake Baldwin Continues to Rake - May 19, 2025
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• AL Week 8 Strategy-May 17, 2025
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• Weathers Shines In Strong Return - May 15, 2025
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• Can't Stop Kerry Carpenter! - May 13, 2025
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• Hunter Renfroe is approaching the Dozier line

Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images Will the Royals move on from Hunter Renfroe soon? They did when Hunter Dozier was in a similar situation. The Kansas City Royals offense looked good yesterday against the Chicago White Sox, scoring 10 runs on 17 hits. Almost all of the starters reached base once, and 7 of the 9 hitters had a multi-hit game. The only player who did not manage to get a hit was ri...2025
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• Hunter Renfore is approaching the Dozier line

Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images Will the Royals move on from Hunter Renfroe soon? They did when Hunter Dozier was in a similar situation. The Kansas City Royals offense looked good yesterday against the Chicago White Sox, scoring 10 runs on 17 hits. Almost all of the starters reached base once, and 7 of the 9 hitters had a multi-hit game. The only player who did not manage to get a hit was ri...2025
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• Resurgent Torkelson and Mize Lead the Tigers - May 9, 2025
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• BCB After Dark: The Cubs are ‘monitoring’ Ryan McMahon
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• Has Dylan Ceased to be Worth it? - May 3, 2025
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• The Bastards Are Grinding Me Down

Chris Getz, the architect of this mess. | Michael Reaves/Getty Images I hate to admit it, but I must Nothing tickles me more than a good turn of phrase, as a former literature major and chronic over-writer. Metaphors and aphorisms abound in my brain, and I have trouble resisting all but the worst puns a conversation might generate. One of my favorite such turns of phrase goes Illegitimi N...2025
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• Maximum Sliders - April 21st, 2025
Max Meyer (MIA - SP) - Meyer was brilliant Monday, throwing 6 shutout innings against the Reds and striking out 14 without walking a man. To illustrate just how filthy his slider was: there were 21 swings on the 40 sliders he threw, and 16 were missed. Just nasty. He ended up picking up 24 swinging strikes on just 92 pitches, and while he does still allow some hard contact, the GB has continued to...2025
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• Monday Rockpile: An early evaluation of Chase Dollander
2025

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• Three players who need to step up for the Brewers in 2025

Brewers outfielder Garrett Mitchell | Photo by David Durochik/Diamond Images via Getty Images The Brewers need these players to shine if they want to retain the division crown The Milwaukee Brewers have had a dominant run in the National League Central, but they aren’t projected to retain their crown. According to FanGraphs’ projections, the Brewers are expected to finish with 81 wins—only...2025
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• Preseason Prep - March 10, 2025
Ivan Herrera (C-STL) impressed in his first significant run in the majors last season, registering a .301 average with 5 homers, 27 RBI, 37 runs scored, and 5 stolen bases across 259 PA, with a wRC+ of 127 as a 24 year-old. Reports indicate that he'll share time behind the plate in 2025 with Pedro Pages as Willson Contreras moves to 1B, but it's likely that Herrera sees more playing time. In 2024,...2025
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• Preseason Prep - February 27, 2025
Bryce Harper, 1B (PHI) Scary moment for the Phillies as Bryce Harper was hit on the arm by a pitch in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays. It was his first game of the spring as he missed time with an illness. The good news is the Phillies training staff is categorizing the injury as a triceps contusion and don't intend to send the slugger for X-rays. Philadelphia will undoubt...2025
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• Preseason Prep - February 21, 2025
Isaac Paredes, 3B, Astros Isaac Paredes was traded from the Cubs to the Astros as part of the Kyle Tucker trade, and it's going to do wonders for his fantasy value. Paredes may not look like much on paper with an 85 mph average exit velocity (3rd percentile) and a .337 xSLG (11th percentile), but his expected stats are deceiving. This is because expected stats don't take into account the direction...2025
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• 2024 Braves Season in Review: Ramon Laureano

Photo by Todd Kirkland/MLB Photos via Getty Images Laureano was a scrapheap addition who did wonders for the Braves’ battered outfield and even wrested a starting role from others in the process. In a season where so many things went wrong for the Atlanta Braves, there may not have been a more pleasant and unexpected surprise on the offensive side of the ball than Ramon Laureano. It’s prob...2024
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• Thursday Rockpile: Nothing about the 2023 Rockies is working
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports Colorado Rockies news and links for Thursday, April 20th, 2023 When Colorado Rockies fans scoffed at owner Dick Monfort’s proclamation that the team could play .500 baseball this season, I don’t think any of them imagined just how bad things would be this early on. “It’s tough to watch,” said Rockies play-by-play announcer Drew Goodman during the team’s...2023
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• The overwhelming underperformance of Aaron Bummer, explained
Few pitchers have caught fans’ ire as much as Aaron Bummer in 2023. | Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports Traditional statistics suggest the southpaw is having a bad year, but advanced stats tell a different story Few players embody the pure disappointment of the White Sox’s 2023 season better than South Side southpaw Aaron Bummer. After four consecutive seasons of top-shelf performance, Bummer’...2023
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• A Cubsmas Advent Calendar: Cody Bellinger was the NL Comeback Player of the Year

Cody Bellinger hits a home run against the Diamondbacks in September | Photo by Nuccio DiNuzzo/Getty Images Will he continue to thrive in 2024 — and if he does, will it be with the Cubs? This is Day 11 of a Cubsmas Advent Calendar. You can read the explanation for the project and Day One here. Yesterday I wrote about the impact Adbert Alzolay’s emergence as a closer had on the 2023 Cubs. I...2023
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• Three hitters the Braves could look to acquire before the deadline
Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports The Atlanta Braves have one of the strongest offenses in the league that features Ronald Acuna Jr., Matt Olsen, Austin Riley, Sean Murphy and Ozzie Albies. But, like every great lineup, this Braves team does have a couple of holes in it. The first is the DH spot, which is currently occupied by Marcell Ozuna and the other is left field where Eddie Rosario plays. T...2023
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• Braves acquire lefty reliever Aaron Bummer for Michael Soroka, Jared Shuster, Nicky Lopez, Braden Shewmake and Riley Gowens

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports Bummer has nasty stuff from the left side, but command has been an issue. The Braves made a significant six-player trade just before the clock struck midnight on Thursday, acquiring veteran lefty reliever Aaron Bummer from the Chicago White Sox for Michael Soroka, Jared Shuster, Nicky Lopez, Braden Shewmake and Riley Gowens. Bummer, 30, has some of the na...2023
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• Do the 2023 Cubs have more than a .500 win percentage in their future?
Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports A look at the Cubs at the quarter season mark I know it’s hard to believe, but Major League Baseball is closing in on the first quarter of the season. The Cubs have played 37 games to the tune of an 18-19 record. Their .486 win percentage would translate to somewhere between 78 or 79 wins over the course of the full season. That win total would be precise...2023
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• Time comes for us all

Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images There is no escape. It has been fascinating to observe the offensive evolution of Salvador Perez. In his first few seasons in the show, the fresh-faced young catcher looked to be a .300 hitter that could give you 15 home runs over a full season. As he settled into his major league career, Perez lost some average in exchange for power, b...2023
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• 2023 Braves Season in Review: Kevin Pillar

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports Kevin Pillar went from a non-guaranteed contract to a steady role player for the 2023 Braves Over the offseason, the Atlanta Braves picked up a few solid free agents to contribute to their 2023 team. Though most of these additions contributed to the pitching staff, Alex Anthopoulos went out and added veteran outfielder Kevin Pillar, who ended up settling into a...2023
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1. White Sox

2. World Series

3. Red Sox

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4529. Barrel Rate

• Is Cam Smith Figuring Things Out? - May 20, 2025
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• Drake Baldwin Continues to Rake - May 19, 2025
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• AL Week 8 Strategy-May 17, 2025
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• Weathers Shines In Strong Return - May 15, 2025
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• Resurgent Torkelson and Mize Lead the Tigers - May 9, 2025
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• Juan Soto is Still Really, Really Good - May 8, 2025
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• A Lost Season for Casas, PCA Continues to Mash - May 3, 2025
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• Don't Sell These Hitters - May 1, 2025
Juan Soto, OF, New York Mets Soto had his biggest day of the year going 2-3 with 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI, BB on three hard hit balls. Soto is having a down year given his first round draft capital, but there is good reason to believe it's nothing but a slow start. Soto's premium discipline and contact skills haven't gone anywhere. He is still walking more than striking out, making him an animal in points...2025
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• Comeback Arms Lead the Way - May 1, 2025
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• The Steady Rise of Reese Olson - April 24, 2025
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• Will Ozzie Albies bounce back?
2025

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• What’s Wrong with Dylan Crews’ Swing? Unpacking His Struggles in 2025
2025

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• Is Cam Smith Figuring Things Out? - May 20, 2025
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• Drake Baldwin Continues to Rake - May 19, 2025
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• AL Week 8 Strategy-May 17, 2025
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• Weathers Shines In Strong Return - May 15, 2025
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• Can't Stop Kerry Carpenter! - May 13, 2025
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• Tarik Skubal Continues Dominance with 12 Strikeout Performance - May 10, 2025
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• Will the real Mitchell Parker please stand up

Katie Stratman-Imagn Images Mitchell Parker’s inconsistency has made him a bit of an enigma, how good is he really? When you think about the Washington Nationals youth going forward towards the future. A lot of the focus shines on James Wood, C.J. Abrams, MaKenzie Gore and Dylan Crews. One guy that gets left out of the mix is 25-year-old Mitchell Parker. The Nationals selected Parker in ...2025
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• Hunter Renfroe is approaching the Dozier line
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• BCB After Dark: The Cubs are ‘monitoring’ Ryan McMahon
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• AL Week 8 Strategy-May 17, 2025
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• Juan Soto is Still Really, Really Good - May 8, 2025
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• O'Neill Owns Opening Day - March 28, 2025
Tyler O'Neill, OF, Orioles Tyler O'Neill continued his Opening Day dominance, going 3 for 3 with a home run, two walks, three runs, and three RBI. It's shockingly the sixth straight Opening Day that O'Neill has homered on, which sounds like an impossible feat. Injuries have been his downfall in recent years, but he was elite in 2024 when he was on the field, blasting 31 home runs in only 113 games...2025
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• 5 things for Braves fans to get excited about for 2025

Photo by Casey Sykes/Getty Images Which aspects of Braves baseball are you looking forward to most this year? Two things can be true at once. The Atlanta Braves had a very disappointing offseason that included a shocking and, in my opinion, egregious decision to duck under the luxury tax instead of adding around their core in the middle of a World Series window. But, despite this, the Bra...2025
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• Fantasy Baseball Draft Prep-March 5, 2025
Rafael Devers 3B/1B/DH? BOS Devers (shoulders) doesn't feel up to speed yet while taking live batting practice, so he has asked Red Sox manager Alex Cora to delay his spring debut a bit. Multiple red flags are there with the potentially disgruntled soon-to-be-former 3B. Monitor his health and happiness and if anything comes back to normal draft with confidence. If the shoulder is real, then wait a...2025
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• Assorted thoughts on the Braves’ commitment to Jurickson Profar

Photo by Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images Did the Braves wiggle out of their comfort zone? Does it matter? I considered titling this post, “So Profar, So Good,” but, that seemed to make little sense at this juncture, and that was a headline-in-the-sand I’m not willing to cross at this point. Did the Atlanta Braves do well by signing Jurickson Profar to a three-year, $42 million de...2025
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• Analyzing Royals Fall League hitter metrics

Photo by Norm Hall/MLB Photos via Getty Images Several Royals were lineup mainstays for the Saguaros. The Arizona Fall League wrapped up play recently with the Salt River Rafters emerging as champions. The Surprise Saguaros — this year rostering players from the Royals, Guardians, Rangers, Orioles, and Astros — looked to be on their way to winning their third consecutive AFL title. They fi...2024
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• Early Royals statistics: Real, fake, or too soon?
Photo by Kyle Rivas/Getty Images Lots of interesting Royals tidbits, but which ones are real and which are misleading? There are a lot of interesting things going on inside this team right now. I though I would just highlight a few and see what if anything looks like it is real and what is just a blip that will smooth out as the sample expands. Salvador K% Salvador Perez has seen his K% i...2023
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