Tom Tango rumors, news
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Tom Tango news, rumors
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• Drawing the Line on ERA, Part 2
Tom Tango thought it might be good to compare the IP by the ERA leader to the highest IP in the league. This spreadsheet tracks that by league since 1969, the year they lowered the mound. All seasons only include pitchers with 162 innings, even if they were shortened seasons. For each line, the first […]...2026
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• Drawing the Line on ERA
Tom Tango proposes changing the qualification for an ERA title from 162 innings pitched to innings of the pitcher ranking 90th in IP (or 3 times the number of MLB teams). Interestingly enough, Paul Skenes (1.96) in his rookie season had 133 IP, while the 90th most IP had 134 One would think Pirates'd have […]...2026Click for news about Paul Skenes latest news
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• Where Was that Pitch?
Tom Tango discusses the uncertainty players face in challenging pitches. On full counts, we see catchers are much more aggressive. But even at pitches more than 2 inches inside the strike zone they are only challenging 70% of the time, when it should be 100%. Again, they have a large uncertainty. You can see it […]...2026
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• Fixing the Balk Rule
Tom Tango posed this question: If ever there was a need for AI, its right here, to come up with a better balk rule. Humans have been stuck with this for 150 years AI should solve this in two minutes https://t.co/dAXKU8PbW6 — Tangotiger ? (@tangotiger) March 1, 2026 My own feeling is that it is […]...2026
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• The Challenge of Challenging
Tom Tango discusses the strategy of the pitch challenge, based on the data in this chart: There's no doubt that at least one club MUST be looking at this chart (or better, one that includes the inning/score) to strategize ABS Challenges The question is how many clubs have dedicated at least one researcher spending at […]...2026
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• Mr. Selective
Tom Tango posts Juan Soto‘s swing rate by pitch location relative to a vertical slice of the strike zone: #Statcast JUAN SOTO – Swing Rateby Proximity to Border of Strike Zone(Adjusted for Ball-Strike Count) We are lucky we have one of the smartest batters of all-time active in his prime in Statcast era Here we […]...2026See more articles Juan Soto news
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Tom Tango injury and suspension
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• The Cubs should be stealing more basesNico Hoerner steals second base against the Twins | Photo by Matt Dirksen/Chicago Cubs/Getty Images A closer look at the team’s running tendencies relative to the rest of the league this season. One of the big developments last season was the dramatic increase in stolen bases league-wide as the rules were adjusted to encourage teams to run more. How much more did teams run? A lot. In 2022 ...2024Visit the page Nico Hoerner injuries -
• Games of the Day
The Braves try to close the gap with the Phillies a little more before September as Max Fried takes on Zack Wheeler. Despite injuries that hurt his K and BB rates, Fried still does an excellent job of preventing home runs. Wheeler trails Chris Sale of the Braves in Tom Tango Cy Young points, so […]...2024Read about Max Fried availability report
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• Performance versus projections at the one-third markMichael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports How have Brewers players stacked up against preseason projections? During the preseason, a reader (forgive me, I forgot who) expressed curiosity about how the Brewers might do compared to what the popular projection systems predicted before the season. With two months of the season and about one-third of the games played so far, I thought I’d check in and c...2024Read about Freddy Peralta -
• Verlander on Injuries
Tom Tango produces a nice graph to support Justin Verlander‘s take on the causes of pitching injuries. This is what Verlander is talking about… in 2008, his range in speed of fastball was pretty wide, while in 2023, it was very tight. In either case, he averaged 94, out-of-hand https://t.co/xFkZ6lBpwf pic.twitter.com/d0ANk17WZG — Tangotiger ? (@tangotiger) […]...2024Read about Justin Verlander injury status
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• Royals Rumblings - News for August 11, 2023Can’t say I care for the Red Sox city connect jerseys. I mean, they’re fine-ish, just not for Boston | Photo by Nick Grace/Getty Images Out last week, out next week, but here this week At The Star, Jaylon Thompson profiles Cole Ragans: Sweeney said the Royals did their homework on Ragans. They evaluated his entire makeup prior to acquiring him from the Rangers. The process took a couple ...2023See also Red Sox injuries -
• Sam Hilliard won’t keep this up all year, but the Braves still may have found something interesting.
Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images Looking at the curious case of Sam Hilliard. Ok, let’s get this part out of the way right from the start. Sam Hilliard is currently running a 166 wRC+ with a 39% strikeout rate and a .545 batting average on balls in play. That profile hasn’t exactly a zero percent chance of maintaining itself over a full season, or even half a season. This is a classic “A...2023Visit the page Sam Hilliard availability report
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• Royals Rumblings - News for February 22, 2023
It’s 2/22; make a wish!! Anne Rogers’s latest dispatch from Spring Training focuses on the drills of new infield coach José Alguacil: Alguacil’s drills aren’t what the Royals are used to; Witt quickly embraced the use of high-velocity machines to take ground balls. Quatraro also brought over a drill that the Royals did before batting practice on Tuesday: A coach flipped a ball to the manager, who...2023Visit the page Anne Rogers injury status
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• The Best of FanGraphs: April 3-7, 2017
Each week, we publish north of 100 posts on our various blogs. With this post, we hope to highlight 10 to 15 of them. You can read more on it here. The links below are color coded — green for FanGraphs, brown for RotoGraphs, dark red for The Hardball Times and blue for Community Research. MONDAYHow Brian Cashman Sold the Yankees’ Rebuild, by Travis Sawchick I won’t spoil the surprise for you. Grea...2017Read about Brian Cashman injury update
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• Andrew McCutchen at Full Strength Paves Way for Monster Year in 2016
2016Check it out Andrew McCutchen availability report
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• MLB Power Rankings: Dissecting Each Team's Postseason Chances
2015Click for news about Bill James availability report
Tom Tango lifestyle
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• Royals Rumblings - News for February 26, 2025Photo by Jeremy Chen/Getty Images The best slugger in Northwest Arkansas Naturals history is back in Kansas City. MLB.com’s Anne Rogers and David Adler look at some of the intense work from Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. this spring at getting better on the basepaths. They’re incorporating audio components along with the visual technology on when to react, as well as ways to o...2025Visit the page Northwest Arkansas -
• Royals Rumblings - News for July 12, 2023
We have achieved Wednesday! Rockies catcher Elias Díaz hit a late-game homer to give the National League their first All-Star Game win since 2012, when it was in Kansas City. Rob Manfred talked to reporters about a variety of topics (more in ESPN links below), including bringing the ABS challenge system from the minors to the majors someday: Manfred also addressed a few other big-picture items. R...2023See more Elias Díaz
Timeline
- 2026
"Tom Tango looks forward to seeing if Antoan Richardson can improve the Braves base stealing as much as he did for the Mets." - 2025
"How he did it Two Decembers ago, Tom Tango published on his blog a thing that I am continually surprised doesn’t get more play everywhere: predictive wOBA." - 2024
"At least per game score (version two, a Tom Tango 2016 update of Bill James’ original musing): pretty darn good." - 2023
"- Tom Tango So, in general, swinging less is better, but not all of the Royals are very good at that, and the young players are not improving at it so far this year." - 2017
"“We’re in the third inning,” Tom Tango, one of the minds behind Statcast, told Passan." - 2016
" Written by Tom Tango, Mitchel Lichtman, and Andrew Dolphin, Sky Kalkman wrote at Beyond the Box Score that The Book highlights how "the [Number 2] hitter comes to bat in situations about as important as the [Number 3] hitter, but more often." - 2015
"It was created by Tom Tango (and notably used in The Book) to measure a hitter’s overall offensive value, based on the relative values of each distinct offensive event." - 2014
"In his 2007 publication The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, Tom Tango used data from 1999-2002 to show how hitters beat up pitchers when seeing them a third time."
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Tom Tango trade rumors, contract, salary rumors
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• Stealing Better
Tom Tango looks forward to seeing if Antoan Richardson can improve the Braves base stealing as much as he did for the Mets. Click through to the Jerry Weinstein thread as well: How much is one good coach worth? This much at least For people like me who love scientific experiments, that Richardson is now […]...2026
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• Checking Points
Tom Tango has a new Cy Young predictor. For #AspiringSaberist, Ive offered an update to a potential new (and final) Cy Young Predictor, consolidating Classic version and FIP version into one unified version. I'd love for someone to spend some time and see how well it did since 2021 at least:https://t.co/B91i3N0tSo pic.twitter.com/H7frwaf6w5 — Tangotiger ? […]...2025Check it out Cy Young salary rumors
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• Royals Rumblings - News for February 26, 2025
2025Continue with Northwest Arkansas contract
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• Assorted thoughts on the Braves’ commitment to Jurickson ProfarPhoto by Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images Did the Braves wiggle out of their comfort zone? Does it matter? I considered titling this post, “So Profar, So Good,” but, that seemed to make little sense at this juncture, and that was a headline-in-the-sand I’m not willing to cross at this point. Did the Atlanta Braves do well by signing Jurickson Profar to a three-year, $42 million de...2025See more Jurickson Profar salary rumors -
• 2025 Musings Marcels
The 2025 Musings Marcels for batters await your download. These are based on Tom Tango’s formulas, and offer a very simple, non-park adjusted look into the future. Let’s take a look at what might happen in 2025. The Marcels project only two players with a .400+ OBP, Aaron Judge at .415 and Juan Soto at […]...2024See more articles Musings Marcels salary
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• Just how good was Garrett Crochet’s Opening Day start?It rarely got better than what Garrett Crochet offered this year on Opening Day. | Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports In White Sox history? 79th percentile ... not bad for a first career effort Yes, it’s been an incredibly long week and especially endless day, but Garrett Crochet’s surprise excellence on Opening Day — pitching at least one inning and exceedingly sharper than anyone had th...2024Read about Garrett Crochet contract rumors -
• Royals Rumblings - News for August 11, 2023
2023Visit the page Red Sox contract
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• The Royals are the only team trying to use five infielders
Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports The shift is not necessarily dead. Last year, teams employed a defensive shift one-third of the time, stacking one side of the infield with most or all of their infielders. It has become a trending strategy in recent years, causing batting averages to plummet. To counteract this and give offenses a boost, Major League Baseball banned radical defensive shift...2023Read about Alex Pavlovic contract
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• Royals Rumblings - News for February 22, 2023
2023Check it out Anne Rogers contract
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• MLB Power Rankings: Dissecting Each Team's Postseason Chances
2015Click for news about Bill James salary rumors
Tom Tango stats and results
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• Wins Lost?
From Tom Tango: With both Yamamoto, Brown finishing third in Cy Young ahead of Webb, Fried respectively, we may finally update Cy Young Predictor to exclude Pitching Wins as category altogether! Looking forward to seeing complete results All thanks Paul Skenes! Sorry-not-sorry @billjamesonline — Tangotiger ? (@tangotiger) November 12, 2025 I’m not 100% sure wins […]...2025See also Cy Young stats
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• Games of the Day
Central Division leaders meet in Detroit as the Cubs send Ben Brown against Tarik Skubal. Brown’s ERA of 5.72 is over two runs higher than his premier season of 2024, despite near identical FIPs. His stats with runners in scoring position are much worse this year. Skubal is tied for first place in Tom Tango […]...2025Check it out Ben Brown statistics
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• Robot Evolution
Tom Tango discusses the evolution of Automated Ball Strike systems. As you can see, after four years and nearly 8000 games, many different combinations of settings have been used in many different leagues, in a very controlled type of experimentation. And the results with the Challenge ABS at the 2025 MLB Spring games seems overwhelmingly positive, […]...2025Read about Automated Ball Strike statistics
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• Assorted thoughts on the Braves’ commitment to Jurickson Profar
2025Click for news about Jurickson Profar
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• The Cubs should be stealing more bases
2024Click for news about Nico Hoerner scores
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• Games of the Day
2024See more Max Fried scores
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• Games of the Day
Chris Sale now leads the NL in Tom Tango Cy Young points as he leads the Braves against the Brewers and Freddy Peralta. Sale hit 17 wins three times in his career. At 13 wins today, he has a great chance of topping that number. Peralta holds opponents to a .224 BA thanks in large […]...2024Check it out Chris Sale statistics
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• Games of the Day
Find a sports bar with the MLB package for lunch and turn in to Detroit at Atlanta were Tarik Skubal faces Reynaldo Lopez. Skubal does well in Tom Tango Cy Young points in a close and dense AL race, showing an impressive combination of power and control. Lopez owns a 1.69 ERA, well below his […]...2024See more articles Tarik Skubal scores
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• Performance versus projections at the one-third mark
2024See more articles Freddy Peralta
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• In defense of the contact playPhoto by Ed Zurga/Getty Images It confounds fans. But there’s math behind it. Last night, the Royals had been unable to get much offense going against Blue Jays lefty Yusei Kikuchi. When Adam Frazier doubled off reliever Erik Swanson in the seventh, they had an opportunity to cut into the 5-2 deficit. Frazier advanced to third on a fly ball hit by Kyle Isbel, and with one out, he had a ter...2024Visit the page Blue Jays
Tom Tango parents, kids, wife / husband, girlfriend / boyfriend
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• Royals Rumblings - News for February 26, 2025
2025Continue with Northwest Arkansas
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• Royals Rumblings - News for August 11, 2023
2023Check it out Red Sox
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• Royals Rumblings - News for July 12, 2023
2023Visit the page Elias Díaz
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• Swing decisions and sending players back to the minors
Photo by Keith Gillett/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images I am actually more worried about MJ Melendez than any of the other young players Swing decisions have become a topic this year for a couple of reasons. On the positive side, Nick Pratto has talked about them helping to get back to the majors, and actually producing as well. On the negative side, Bobby Witt has not progressed as many o...2023See more Keith Gillett Icon
Top Tom Tango news
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• Andrew McCutchen at Full Strength Paves Way for Monster Year in 2016
2016See more articles Andrew McCutchen
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• Swing decisions and sending players back to the minors
2023Check it out Keith Gillett Icon
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• Just how good was Garrett Crochet’s Opening Day start?
2024Click for news about Garrett Crochet
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• The Cubs should be stealing more bases
2024See also Nico Hoerner
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• Statcast’s Influence To Increase
The Statcast revolution in Major League Baseball is merely in its inchoate stages, as Yahoo Sports’ Jeff Passan details in a must-read piece. “We’re in the third inning,” Tom Tango, one of the minds behind Statcast, told Passan. Statcast, which MLB.com notes “is capable of measuring previously unquantifiable aspects of the game,” became available in…...2017See more articles Jeff Passan
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• In defense of the contact play
2024Continue with Blue Jays
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• Buster Posey, Bruce Bochy Are the Keys to Giants' World Series Comeback
2014Check it out Buster Posey
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• .300 Ain't What It Used To BeEditor’s note: We’re resending this out because a photo of Tony Gwynn’s son ran in the original version of this piece. OK, we all know that batting average isn’t the best analytical tool when it comes to determining a player’s value. Our pal Tom Tango will tell you that purely in terms of...2023Read about Tony Gwynn
Baseball Fame Ranking
- 1. White Sox
- 2. World Series
- 3. Red Sox
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- 3407. Tom Tango
Tom Tango fantasy rankings and news
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• 2026 Musings Marcels
With the end of the 2025 season brings about predictions for the 2026 season with the Musings Marcels. This is the Baseball Musings implementation of the Tom Tango prediction system. The system is very basic, very simple to calculate, and tends to be accurate. Some readers reported fantasy success with the Marcels, so feel free […]...2025See more articles Musings Marcels
Tom Tango schedule, game
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• Convergence of Talent
Via Tom Tango, I saw this post on X: Why are things converging across the batting order suddenly? Apparently a general MLB strategy shift I’ve just been oblivious to? I realize lineups are not as archetypal/simplistic as before, but wow?@LeeTrocinski @sunshinevvn @KasperStats @tangotiger https://t.co/7NQLZeWioX pic.twitter.com/AsAstJ5vXR — Luminiferous Ether/Or(wellian) (@orwellian) January ...2026
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• Stacking Versus Alternating
Tom Tango looks at pitchers facing consecutive batters with the same handedness versus batting from the alternate side of the plate. With the caveat that this is probably random variation, he notes that some pitchers are better when the lineup is stacked (consecutive same side), and some are better when the lineup alternates (consecutive different […]...2025
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• Phillies Platooning
Yesterday Tom Tango asked about doing lineup analysis based on platoon differences. In other words, how should the Phillies lineup change if a right-handed pitcher or a left-handed pitcher started? I didn’t have time to do a Marcels for pitcher handedness (although that’s something I might add in the future). So I figured up the […]...2025
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• Royals Rumblings - News for February 26, 2025
2025Visit the page Northwest Arkansas
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• Ranking Skenes
Back on July 30, 2024, Tom Tango and I disagreed over where Paul Skenes ranked among starting pitchers. Tom put him seventh, the Bill James Ranking put him 89th. Skenes is now 7th best starting pitcher in MLB He is essentially on a pace over the next few years to be somewhere between Dwight Gooden […]...2024Click for news about Paul Skenes
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• Games of the Day
2024Continue with Tarik Skubal
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• Just how good was Garrett Crochet’s Opening Day start?
2024Continue with Garrett Crochet
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• Lineup Spread
Tom Tango uses wOBA to measure the spread in runs per game between the best and worst lineups a team can put on the field. He gets a value between 0.2 and 0.25 runs per game: Now, let’s swap the first batter and the last batter. What happens? Well, instead of 5 PA going to […]...2024
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• Playoffs Today
The 2023 World Series begins in Texas tonight at 8 PM EDT as the Diamondbacks take on the Rangers. Zac Gallen faces Nathan Eovaldi. Gallen led the National League in Tom Tango Cy Young Points in a rather weak field in for NL Pitchers. He pitched fine in the first two rounds of the playoffs, […]...2023Check it out World Series
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• Betts Versus Acuna
Tom Tango posted this about the NL MVP race between Ronald Acuna and Mookie Betts: They really are in reality close, but the old-school look at the data is still trumping the new-school.This isn't 1983, but we're probably at 2003 in this discussion, if the view is Acuna at 3:1 over Betts. https://t.co/x1YBNspKlA— Tangotiger ? […]...2023Visit the page NL MVP
Tom Tango rumors, scandals
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• Assorted thoughts on the Braves’ commitment to Jurickson Profar
2025See more Jurickson Profar rumors
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• Performance versus projections at the one-third mark
2024Click for news about Freddy Peralta rumors
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• Just how good was Garrett Crochet’s Opening Day start?
2024Check it out Garrett Crochet scandals
Latest baseball headlines and breaking news
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